ATLAS News · Earnings

Vistra Posts Record Q3 Adjusted EBITDA and Issues First 2027 Guidance

Published November 6, 2026 · 3 sources

Vistra reported record Q3 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $2.38 billion and introduced 2027 guidance of $7.7 to $8.5 billion, according to BigGo Finance and TIKR.

What happened

Vistra (VST) reported record third-quarter 2026 results, according to BigGo Finance. Adjusted EBITDA reached $2.38 billion, up more than 50% from $1.54 billion a year earlier.

MarketWatch reports that profit and revenue for the quarter came in higher than expected, and that the shares rose on the news. TIKR also notes the stock gained about 8% and highlights that most of next year's power is already sold.

BigGo Finance adds that the company introduced 2027 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $7.7 billion to $8.5 billion. It also reports a target of $24 in free cash flow per share by 2030.

Context

Vistra is a power producer, and companies in the sector often sell electricity in advance, which affects how visible their future earnings are.

Why it matters

The record quarter and the first 2027 outlook give investors new information on Vistra's earnings trajectory, which may shape how the market views the company.

Stocks in this story

Price changes are shown for the trading day of the story and are a coincidence in time, not proof that the news caused them. Figures are ATLAS data from our database.

VistraVST

+10.78%

Utilities · NYSE

Latest price during the session: $125.06+10.78% vs. previous close ($112.89)
Fair value (ATLAS): $117.23Fair range: $90.97 to $151.07The price ($125.06) is 6.7% above that figure: close to its fair value.
Chance of a rise in 1 month: 46%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $108.20 and $139.69; 9 in 10, between $86.27 and $175.20.

See the full ATLAS analysis of Vistra →

Closing prices, fair value and probabilities: ATLAS own data. How we calculate fair value.

Sources

ATLAS writes its own summaries from the reporting of these outlets. Each link opens the original publisher.

Vistra Soars 8% on 50% EBITDA Jump and First 2027 Outlook: “More of These Opportunities” · TIKR.com · November 6, 2026
[Vistra Q3 2026 Earnings Call] Vistra Posts Record $2.38B Adjusted EBITDA, Introduces 2027 Guidance of $7.7–$8.5B and Eyes $24 FCF/Share by 2030 · BigGo Finance · November 6, 2026
Vistra Shares Up on Higher-Than-Expected 3Q Profit, Revenue · MarketWatch · November 6, 2026

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