ATLAS News · Earnings

Vistra Reports Record Q3 Adjusted EBITDA and Issues First 2027 Guidance

Published November 6, 2026 · 3 sources

Vistra posted record third-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $2.38 billion and introduced 2027 guidance of $7.7 to $8.5 billion, according to BigGo Finance.

What happened

Vistra (VST) reported record third-quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $2.38 billion, according to BigGo Finance. MarketWatch reports that the company's profit and revenue came in above expectations.

BigGo Finance says the figure is more than 50% higher than the $1.54 billion posted a year earlier. The company also introduced 2027 guidance for adjusted EBITDA of $7.7 billion to $8.5 billion and referred to a goal of $24 in free cash flow per share by 2030.

TIKR.com notes that most of next year's power is already sold, a point it highlights as important in its coverage of the results.

Context

Vistra is a power producer, and its earnings are closely tied to how much of its electricity output is sold ahead of time.

Why it matters

The results and first 2027 outlook give investors a fuller picture of how Vistra expects its earnings to develop, which is why the report is drawing market attention.

Stocks in this story

Price changes are shown for the trading day of the story and are a coincidence in time, not proof that the news caused them. Figures are ATLAS data from our database.

VistraVST

+10.78%

Utilities · NYSE

Latest price during the session: $125.06+10.78% vs. previous close ($112.89)
Fair value (ATLAS): $117.23Fair range: $90.97 to $151.07The price ($125.06) is 6.7% above that figure: close to its fair value.
Chance of a rise in 1 month: 46%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $108.20 and $139.69; 9 in 10, between $86.27 and $175.20.

See the full ATLAS analysis of Vistra →

Closing prices, fair value and probabilities: ATLAS own data. How we calculate fair value.

Sources

ATLAS writes its own summaries from the reporting of these outlets. Each link opens the original publisher.

Vistra Soars 8% on 50% EBITDA Jump and First 2027 Outlook: “More of These Opportunities” · TIKR.com · November 6, 2026
[Vistra Q3 2026 Earnings Call] Vistra Posts Record $2.38B Adjusted EBITDA, Introduces 2027 Guidance of $7.7–$8.5B and Eyes $24 FCF/Share by 2030 · BigGo Finance · November 6, 2026
Vistra Shares Up on Higher-Than-Expected 3Q Profit, Revenue · MarketWatch · November 6, 2026

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