SanDisk Price Scenario and Micron Threat Delay Draw Attention
· 2 sources
TradingKey outlines a $4,000 SanDisk scenario based on $168 EPS, while Barron's says a big threat to Micron stock has been pushed further out.
What happened
TradingKey published an analysis of SanDisk (SNDK) that lays out a scenario in which the stock could approach $4,000. Separately, Barron's reports that Micron Technology (MU) has gotten some relief because a major threat has been pushed into the long grass.
TradingKey's scenario rests on two inputs. The first is the consensus estimate of $168 in earnings per share one year out. The second is a P/E multiple of 22, which the outlet describes as a rather conservative estimate of the S&P 500 average.
Applying that multiple to that earnings estimate, TradingKey says, would imply a share price of close to $4,000. The scenario also assumes SanDisk continues along its current path. The Barron's piece, based on its headline, does not specify the threat in the information available to ATLAS.
Context
Memory and storage chipmakers such as Micron and SanDisk are often followed together because their results tend to depend on similar industry conditions.
Why it matters
The two reports show how analysts and commentators are framing the outlook for memory-related stocks, though the TradingKey figure is a hypothetical scenario and not a forecast by ATLAS.
Stocks in this story
Price changes are shown for the trading day of the story and are a coincidence in time, not proof that the news caused them. Figures are ATLAS data from our database.
$690.00+5.12% vs. previous close ($656.39) · November 6
Fair value (ATLAS)
$1,444.46Fair range: $378.72 to $2,256.84The price ($690.00) is 52.2% below that figure.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
45%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $575.35 and $783.14; 9 in 10, between $437.76 and $1,029.30.
$835.06+3.55% vs. previous close ($806.43) · November 6
Chance of a rise in 1 month
43%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $637.54 and $974.93; 9 in 10, between $437.51 and $1,420.66.
Fair value, probabilities and earnings for every stock. Free account, no card. Information, not advice.
Information, not advice. This content is informational and is not an investment recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. ATLAS estimates come from statistical models using public data, can be wrong, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Disclaimer
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