ATLAS News · Deals

SpaceX Share Slump Complicates Possible Tesla Merger, Reports Say

· 3 sources

Yahoo Finance and BigGo Finance report SpaceX's share drop could shift deal math for a Tesla combination; Nacionale says no terms are agreed.

What happened

Yahoo Finance and BigGo Finance report that a fall in SpaceX's share price is complicating a potential merger between SpaceX and Tesla. According to Yahoo Finance, a lower SpaceX price could leave Tesla investors owning a much larger share of the combined company.

Both outlets say SpaceX shares have fallen about 13% since Oct. 21, the day Elon Musk disclosed that the boards of SpaceX and Tesla had formed special committees to explore a deal. BigGo Finance describes the share-swap math as turning against Musk.

Nacionale stresses that no merger has been agreed. It reports that both boards are only studying a possible deal and that no terms have been set.

Context

In a share-swap merger, the relative value of each company's stock helps determine how much of the combined company each group of shareholders ends up owning.

Why it matters

The reports suggest that movements in SpaceX's valuation could influence how any potential combination with Tesla is structured, although nothing has been agreed.

Stocks in this story

Price changes are shown for the trading day of the story and are a coincidence in time, not proof that the news caused them. Figures are ATLAS data from our database.

TeslaTSLA

+1.69%

Consumer Cyclical · NASDAQ

Live price
$390.84▲ +1.69%

live price · USD

Close on November 12
$397.45+1.69% vs. previous close ($390.84)
Chance of a rise in 1 month
48%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $351.33 and $428.02; 9 in 10, between $294.91 and $509.90.
See the full ATLAS analysis of Tesla →

Closing prices, fair value and probabilities: ATLAS own data. How we calculate fair value.

Sources

ATLAS writes its own summaries from the reporting of these outlets. Each link opens the original publisher.

  1. How the SpaceX Stock Slump Complicates Elon Musk’s Tesla Merger · Yahoo Finance · November 12, 2026
  2. SpaceX's 13% Slide Raises the Bill for a Tesla Takeover as Share-Swap Math Turns Against Musk · BigGo Finance · November 12, 2026
  3. Is Tesla merging with SpaceX? Not yet: both boards are only studying a deal, and no terms are agreed · Nacionale · November 12, 2026

Related

Latest market news · Markets today on ATLAS · Tesla

What you get with ATLAS

Create my ATLAS account →

Fair value, probabilities and earnings for every stock. Free account, no card. Information, not advice.

Information, not advice. This content is informational and is not an investment recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. ATLAS estimates come from statistical models using public data, can be wrong, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Disclaimer

ATLAS Signals

ATLAS Signals, every week

The week in the market, three stocks on ATLAS’s radar and what comes next. Get it every Monday.

By subscribing you agree to receive ATLAS Signals by email every Monday. You can unsubscribe with one click at any time. Privacy