ATLAS News · Soccer

College Football Playoff Approves 24-Team Format and ESPN Rights Deal

Published November 9, 2026 · Updated November 9, 2026 · 3 sources

The CFP Management Committee approved a 24-team Playoff from 2027-28 and announced an ESPN media rights agreement. Disney owns ESPN.

The exposed companies and what ATLAS says about each

Price change between the last close before the event and the latest available close. It is a coincidence in time, not a cause-and-effect relationship.

Walt DisneyDIS

+1.02%

Owner of ESPN, the named media rights partner for the expanded College Football Playoff games. · Communication Services

Walt Disney owns ESPN, the named media rights partner for the expanded College Football Playoff games. Its close was $116.75 on November 6 and $117.94 on November 9, up 1.02% between the two closes, a coincidence in time and not a proven cause. Its next earnings report is November 17 before the open, with estimated EPS of 1.67.

Price between closes
$116.75 $117.94Close of November 6 and November 9
Fair value (ATLAS)
$121.78Fair range: $79.00 to $206.67The price ($117.94) is 3.2% below that figure: close to its fair value.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
52%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $113.13 and $123.70; 9 in 10, between $104.51 and $133.90.
Next earnings
November 17, 2026 (before the open)Estimated EPS: 1.67 $Earnings results page on ATLAS · Earnings calendar for DIS
Recent results (EPS)
  • Aug 52.06 actual vs 1.85 est.Beat expectations
  • May 61.57 actual vs 1.50 est.Beat expectations
  • Mar 24-1.00 actual vs -0.40 est.Fell short
  • Feb 21.63 actual vs 1.58 est.Beat expectations
Dividend
1.27% dividend yield
See the full ATLAS analysis of Walt Disney →

DraftKingsDKNG

0.00%

Sports betting operator; more playoff games expand the college football betting calendar. · Consumer Cyclical

DraftKings is a sports betting operator; more playoff games expand the college football betting calendar. It is included for its activity in the sector, not because the event affects it. Its close was $18.51 on November 6 and $18.51 on November 9, down 0.00% between the two closes.

Price between closes
$18.51 $18.51Close of November 6 and November 9
Fair value (ATLAS)
$18.10Fair range: $14.07 to $24.49The price ($18.51) is 2.3% above that figure: close to its fair value.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
45%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $15.23 and $21.11; 9 in 10, between $11.41 and $28.20.
Recent results (EPS)
  • Nov 5-0.70 actual vs -0.34 est.
  • Aug 60.09 actual vs 0.19 est.Fell short
  • Jul 161.17 actual vs 1.10 est.Beat expectations
  • May 290.92 actual vs 0.74 est.Beat expectations
See the full ATLAS analysis of DraftKings →

Sports betting operator; more playoff games expand the college football betting calendar. · Consumer Cyclical

Flutter Entertainment is a sports betting operator; more playoff games expand the college football betting calendar. It is included for its activity in the sector, not because the event affects it. Its close was $81.70 on November 6 and $81.70 on November 9, down 0.00% between the two closes.

Price between closes
$81.70 $81.70Close of November 6 and November 9
Fair value (ATLAS)
$148.09Fair range: $91.06 to $222.78The price ($81.70) is 44.8% below that figure.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
49%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $74.93 and $88.41; 9 in 10, between $64.72 and $102.36.
Recent results (EPS)
  • Nov 4-0.47 actual vs -0.21 est.Fell short
  • Aug 50.49 actual vs 0.55 est.Fell short
  • May 61.22 actual vs 1.09 est.Beat expectations
  • Mar 310.66 actual vs 0.59 est.Beat expectations
See the full ATLAS analysis of Flutter Entertainment →

S&P 500 between the same closes (November 6 and November 9): 7,376.86 → 7,532.94 points, +2.12%.

What happened

The College Football Playoff Management Committee unanimously approved expansion to 24 teams, beginning with the 2027-28 college football season, on November 9 [1]. It also announced an exclusive media rights agreement with ESPN to televise the new CFP games [1]. ESPN is owned by Walt Disney, which is the company directly tied to the story.

The CFP Management Committee said on November 9 that it unanimously approved Playoff expansion to 24 teams, beginning with the 2027-28 college football season [1]. CBS Sports and CNN also carried headlines on the expansion [2][3].

The CFP announcement also covers an exclusive media rights agreement with ESPN to televise the new CFP games [1]. The headline refers to a term running through the 2021-32 season, as written in the source [1].

What ATLAS data show

ATLAS model estimates put Walt Disney's fair value at $121.78, within a range of $79.00 to $206.67, with the price 3.16% below that value. For DraftKings the estimate is $18.10 (range $14.07 to $24.49), with the price 2.26% above it. For Flutter Entertainment the estimate is $148.09 (range $91.06 to $222.78), with the price 44.83% below it. These are model estimates, not promises or advice.

Two closes that coincide in time with a news event do not show that one caused the other. The S&P 500 was up 2.12% between the same two closes. Data come from market closes and may change.

What you get with ATLAS

  • Fair value of each company, with its range, against today's price.
  • Chance of a rise in 1 month and the normal price range, from a calibrated model.
  • Earnings: next date, estimated EPS and surprise history.
  • Dividends and alerts by email when a company reports.
Create my ATLAS account →

Start in under a minute. Information, not advice.

Frequently asked questions

What did the College Football Playoff approve?

The Management Committee unanimously approved expansion to 24 teams, beginning with the 2027-28 season [1].

Which media company is named in the announcement?

ESPN, under an exclusive media rights agreement to televise the new CFP games [1]. ESPN is owned by Walt Disney.

Why are DraftKings and Flutter mentioned?

They are sports betting operators, and more playoff games expand the college football betting calendar. They are included for their sector activity, not because the event affects them.

Sources

  1. CFP to Expand to 24 Teams Starting with the 2027-28 College Football Season; Announces Exclusive Media Rights Agreement with ESPN to Televise New CFP Games through the 2021-32 Season - College Football Playoff · College Football Playoff
  2. College Football Playoff officially expanding to 24 teams for 2027 season · CBS Sports
  3. The College Football Playoff is expanding to 24 teams. Football Saturdays will never be the same · CNN

Closing prices, fair value, probabilities, earnings and dividends: ATLAS own data as of November 9, 2026. How we calculate fair value.

Information, not advice. This content is informational and is not an investment recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. ATLAS estimates come from statistical models using public data, can be wrong, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Disclaimer

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