ATLAS News · Energy

LNG shipments through the Strait of Hormuz rebounded in October

Published November 10, 2026 · Updated November 10, 2026 · 3 sources

LNG traffic through the Strait of Hormuz reached its highest level since the Iran war began, though Qatar's exports remain well below pre-war levels.

What happened

A Reuters headline says Hormuz LNG traffic in October was the highest since the Iran war began [1]. OilPrice.com reports that Qatar's exports remain well below pre-war levels as global gas markets face an uncertain winter [2].

Reuters titled its report "Hormuz LNG traffic hits highest in October since Iran war began" [1].

OilPrice.com reports that LNG shipments through the Strait of Hormuz rebounded in October, but Qatar's exports remain well below pre-war levels [2]. It says global gas markets face an uncertain winter [2].

According to Kpler data, as cited by Reuters and reported by OilPrice.com, exports of LNG via the strait last month reached the highest total since February, at 31 tankers, compared with 27 in September [2].

OilPrice.com says most of these cargoes were loaded from Qatar's Ras Laffan hub, despite it still being under force majeure [2]. A Bloomberg headline refers to Qatar LNG loadings picking up to around half of pre-war levels [3].

Related companies and sectors

Sector relationship, not a demonstrated effect: ATLAS has no evidence that this story moves these companies' share prices. They appear for their activity in the sector and are shown with ATLAS data.

ShellSHEL.LSE

Major global LNG trader and producer, exposed to supply disruption and gas price moves from Qatari volumes. · Energy

Latest available close
£37.01Close of November 9
Fair value (ATLAS)
£47.29Fair range: £37.00 to £68.34The price (£37.01) is 21.8% below that figure.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
53%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between £35.86 and £38.51; 9 in 10, between £33.67 and £41.01.
See the full ATLAS analysis of Shell →

BPBP.LSE

Active LNG trading and supply business, exposed to Gulf LNG flows and global gas price volatility. · Energy

Latest available close
£5.57Close of November 9
Fair value (ATLAS)
£7.46Fair range: £5.49 to £13.20The price (£5.57) is 25.4% below that figure.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
51%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between £5.31 and £5.87; 9 in 10, between £4.86 and £6.41.
See the full ATLAS analysis of BP →

Holds interests in Qatari LNG projects and is a large global LNG seller, exposed to Hormuz shipping flows. · Energy

Latest available close
$88.00Close of November 9
Fair value (ATLAS)
$112.10Fair range: $95.79 to $174.79The price ($88.00) is 21.5% below that figure.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
52%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $84.68 and $92.07; 9 in 10, between $78.62 and $99.16.
See the full ATLAS analysis of TotalEnergies SE →

CentricaCNA.LSE

UK gas and power supplier with LNG portfolio exposure, sensitive to global gas supply and winter prices. · Utilities

Latest available close
£1.54Close of November 9
Fair value (ATLAS)
£2.56Fair range: £2.31 to £2.82The price (£1.54) is 39.8% below that figure.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
53%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between £1.49 and £1.61; 9 in 10, between £1.40 and £1.72.
See the full ATLAS analysis of Centrica →

Participant in Qatari LNG operations and a major global LNG supplier, exposed to Gulf export volumes. · Energy

Latest available close
$164.73Close of November 9
Fair value (ATLAS)
$137.52Fair range: $87.39 to $152.91The price ($164.73) is 19.8% above that figure.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
51%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $156.73 and $173.86; 9 in 10, between $142.96 and $190.60.
See the full ATLAS analysis of ExxonMobil →

ATLAS data for these companies

ATLAS model estimates put the fair value of Shell, BP, TotalEnergies and Centrica above their latest closes of November 9. The gaps range from 21.50% below fair value for TotalEnergies to 39.80% below for Centrica. ExxonMobil's close was 19.79% above its estimate. These are model estimates, not promises, and are unrelated to the story.

This is a sector relationship, not a demonstrated effect: there is no evidence that this story moves these companies' share prices. Figures are taken from closes and may change.

What you get with ATLAS

  • Fair value of each company, with its range, against today's price.
  • Chance of a rise in 1 month and the normal price range, from a calibrated model.
  • Earnings: next date, estimated EPS and surprise history.
  • Dividends and alerts by email when a company reports.
Create my ATLAS account →

Start in under a minute. Information, not advice.

Frequently asked questions

Does this news affect stocks in the sector?

There is no evidence of that. The companies are listed because of their LNG activity, a sector relationship, not a demonstrated effect.

How many LNG tankers passed through Hormuz in October?

OilPrice.com, citing Kpler data as cited by Reuters, reports 31 tankers, compared with 27 in September [2].

Are Qatar's LNG exports back to pre-war levels?

No. OilPrice.com says they remain well below pre-war levels [2].

Sources

  1. Hormuz LNG traffic hits highest in October since Iran war began · Reuters
  2. LNG Traffic Through Hormuz Hits Highest Level Since Iran War Began | OilPrice.com · Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com · November 10, 2026
  3. Qatar LNG Loadings Pick Up to Around Half of Pre-War Levels · Bloomberg.com

Closing prices, fair value, probabilities, earnings and dividends: ATLAS own data as of November 10, 2026. How we calculate fair value.

Information, not advice. This content is informational and is not an investment recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. ATLAS estimates come from statistical models using public data, can be wrong, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Disclaimer

ATLAS Signals

ATLAS Signals, every week

The week in the market, three stocks on ATLAS’s radar and what comes next. Get it every Monday.

By subscribing you agree to receive ATLAS Signals by email every Monday. You can unsubscribe with one click at any time. Privacy