Manchester United, the club reportedly seeking a new head coach after Michael Carrick's future was decided. · Communication Services
Manchester United is the club at the center of the story, since it is reportedly seeking a new head coach after Michael Carrick's future was decided. Its close was $23.71 on November 11 and $23.71 on November 12, down 0.00% between the two closes. Its next earnings report is due November 19 before the open, with estimated EPS of 0.06.
Price between closes
$23.71 → $23.71Close of November 11 and November 12
Fair value (ATLAS)
$14.10Fair range: $10.27 to $21.17The price ($23.71) is 68.2% above that figure.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
50%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $22.36 and $25.19; 9 in 10, between $20.12 and $27.99.
Kit supplier and sponsor of Manchester United, a club involved in the coaching change. · Consumer Cyclical
adidas is the kit supplier and sponsor of Manchester United; it is included for its activity in the sector, not because the event affects it. Its close was €177.10 on November 11 and €179.60 on November 12, up 1.41% between the two closes, a coincidence in time only. Its dividend yield is 1.56%.
Price between closes
€177.10 → €179.60Close of November 11 and November 12
Fair value (ATLAS)
€199.81Fair range: €150.81 to €281.82The price (€179.60) is 10.1% below that figure.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
51%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between €171.14 and €189.33; 9 in 10, between €156.48 and €207.06.
S&P 500 between the same closes (November 11 and November 12): 7,619.38 → 7,599.69 points, −0.26%.
What happened
Manchester United have reached a verbal agreement in principle with Mauricio Pochettino to take over as head coach, according to Sky Sports, which says Michael Carrick is expected to be relieved of his duties before the end of the week [3]. Yahoo Sports reports the same agreement, three months after Pochettino signed a contract extension through 2030 with the USMNT [2]. Manchester United is a listed club, and its shares and those of its kit supplier adidas are shown below for context.
Sky Sports reports that Manchester United have reached a verbal agreement in principle with Mauricio Pochettino to take over as head coach. It says Michael Carrick took training on Wednesday and officially remains United boss, but is expected to be relieved of his duties before the end of the week [3].
Sky Sports says Pochettino has a £7m release clause in the contract he signed with the USA after the World Cup. It adds that he is likely to remain in charge of the USA for their two games against Haiti during the current international break, and that talks with US Soccer are set to accelerate over the next 24 hours [3].
Yahoo Sports describes the agreement as reported, and notes that it comes just three months after Pochettino signed a contract extension through 2030 [2]. The New York Times headline refers to a move 10 years in the making [1].
What ATLAS data show
ATLAS model estimates put Manchester United's fair value at $14.10, within a range of $10.27 to $21.17. The November 12 close of $23.71 is 68.20% above that estimate. For adidas, the model estimate is €199.81, within a range of €150.81 to €281.82, and the price is 10.12% below that value. These are model estimates, not promises, and they are not advice.
Two closes that fall on the same days as a news event show a coincidence in time, not a cause. The figures come from market closes and may change, and the reports on the coaching change describe a reported agreement.
What you get with ATLAS
Fair value of each company, with its range, against today's price.
Chance of a rise in 1 month and the normal price range, from a calibrated model.
Earnings: next date, estimated EPS and surprise history.
Dividends and alerts by email when a company reports.
Closing prices, fair value, probabilities, earnings and dividends: ATLAS own data as of November 12, 2026. How we calculate fair value.
Information, not advice. This content is informational and is not an investment recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. ATLAS estimates come from statistical models using public data, can be wrong, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Disclaimer
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