Taiwan Semiconductor, the foundry leader named in the story as its shares fell after the midterm results. · Technology
Taiwan Semiconductor is the foundry leader named in the story as its shares fell after the midterm results [1]. Its close was $353.10 on November 5 and $375.66 on November 6, up 6.39% between the two closes. Its dividend yield is 0.91%.
Price between closes
$353.10 → $375.66Close of November 5 and November 6
Fair value (ATLAS)
$218.21Fair range: $143.51 to $331.79The price ($375.66) is 72.2% above that figure.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
48%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $339.78 and $409.93; 9 in 10, between $287.71 and $484.13.
Recent results (EPS)
Oct 154.60 actual vs 4.45 est.Beat expectations
Jul 164.31 actual vs 3.89 est.Beat expectations
May 110.52 actual vs 0.41 est.Beat expectations
Apr 163.49 actual vs 3.33 est.Beat expectations
Dividend
0.91% dividend yieldNext ex-dividend date: December 10, 2026 · 3.42 $ over the last 12 months
United Microelectronics, a Taiwan-based foundry peer named in the story as one of the steepest decliners. · Technology
United Microelectronics is a Taiwan-based foundry peer named in the headline as one of the steepest decliners [1]. Its close was $13.38 on November 5 and $13.77 on November 6, up 2.91% between the two closes. Its dividend yield is 2.99%.
Price between closes
$13.38 → $13.77Close of November 5 and November 6
Fair value (ATLAS)
$18.97Fair range: $16.57 to $21.49The price ($13.77) is 27.4% below that figure.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
46%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $11.71 and $15.50; 9 in 10, between $9.13 and $19.87.
Intel, a foundry competitor to TSMC named in the related coverage comparing the two companies. · Technology
Intel is a foundry competitor to TSMC, named in coverage comparing the two companies [2]. Its close was $52.25 on November 5 and $55.45 on November 6, up 6.12% between the two closes.
Price between closes
$52.25 → $55.45Close of November 5 and November 6
Fair value (ATLAS)
$54.15Fair range: $48.74 to $59.57The price ($55.45) is 2.4% above that figure: close to its fair value.
Chance of a rise in 1 month
43%Probability of closing higher than today within 21 sessions.Normal range: half of the scenarios end between $42.32 and $64.74; 9 in 10, between $29.04 and $94.37.
Nasdaq-100 between the same closes (November 5 and November 6): 26,629.81 → 27,145.33 points, +1.94%.
S&P 500 between the same closes (November 5 and November 6): 7,353.73 → 7,421.90 points, +0.93%.
What happened
A Yahoo Finance headline says TSMC sank 10% and UMC fell 16% as a chip rout deepened after Democrats' midterm wins [1]. Between the November 5 and November 6 closes, the sheet shows TSM, UMC and Intel all higher, so the picture is mixed.
The Yahoo Finance headline reads: TSMC sinks 10%, UMC down 16% as chip rout deepens after Democrats' midterm wins. Only the headline is available, so nothing further is attributed to that article [1].
A Motley Fool article dated November 5, 2026 argues that TSMC is the better foundry stock compared with Intel. It describes TSMC as the foundry leader with a near monopoly on manufacturing advanced logic chips, and says Intel hopes its foundry business can become a growth driver [2].
A 24/7 Wall St. article dated November 5, 2026 says TSMC posted its third straight earnings beat while AI demand outstrips supply. It also says the shares had dropped nearly 11% in a month [3].
What ATLAS data show
ATLAS model estimates put TSM's fair value at $218.21, within a range of $143.51 to $331.79; the November 6 close sits 72.16% above that value. For UMC the estimate is $18.97, with a range of $16.57 to $21.49, and the price is 27.43% below it. For Intel the estimate is $54.15, with a range of $48.74 to $59.57, and the price is 2.39% above it. These are model estimates, not promises or advice.
Two closes that coincide in time with an event do not show that the event caused the moves. The headline's declines and the sheet's gains cover different, unspecified periods. Data are from closes and may change.
What you get with ATLAS
Fair value of each company, with its range, against today's price.
Chance of a rise in 1 month and the normal price range, from a calibrated model.
Earnings: next date, estimated EPS and surprise history.
Dividends and alerts by email when a company reports.
Did TSMC shares rise or fall between November 5 and 6?
The sheet shows TSM closing at $353.10 on November 5 and $375.66 on November 6, up 6.39%. The Yahoo Finance headline separately reports a 10% drop [1].
How did UMC and Intel move over the same two closes?
UMC rose 2.91%, from $13.38 to $13.77. Intel rose 6.12%, from $52.25 to $55.45.
How did the broader market move?
The Nasdaq-100 rose 1.94%, from 26,629.81 to 27,145.33 points. The S&P 500 rose 0.93%, from 7,353.73 to 7,421.90 points.
Closing prices, fair value, probabilities, earnings and dividends: ATLAS own data as of November 7, 2026. How we calculate fair value.
Information, not advice. This content is informational and is not an investment recommendation or an offer to buy or sell securities. ATLAS estimates come from statistical models using public data, can be wrong, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Disclaimer
ATLAS Signals
ATLAS Signals, every week
The week in the market, three stocks on ATLAS’s radar and what comes next. Get it every Monday.
By subscribing you agree to receive ATLAS Signals by email every Monday. You can unsubscribe with one click at any time. Privacy
ATLAS