ATLASMarathon Petroleum (MPC) earnings date: Nov 3, 2026
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) reports earnings for the quarter ended Sep 30, 2026 on Tue, Nov 3, 2026, before the open. Analysts expect EPS of $25.74.
Source: company filings and exchange data · Updated Nov 2, 2026
Marathon Petroleum reports on Nov 3, 2026. One email the day before, with ATLAS’s read on Marathon Petroleum. You can switch it off at any time.
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MPC earnings at a glance
| Next report (confirmed) | Tue, Nov 3, 2026 |
|---|---|
| Time | Before the open |
| Period | Quarter ended Sep 30, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $25.74 |
| Last report | Aug 4, 2026 · Beat |
| Beat rate (last 5 reports) | 3 of 5 (60%) |
| Average EPS surprise | +7.3% |
| Average move around a report | ±3.7% (last 5) |
| Sector | Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing |
Marathon Petroleum earnings history: last 5 reports
Marathon Petroleum last reported on Aug 4, 2026: EPS of $17.73 against an estimate of $13.95 (+27.1% surprise), a beat.
| Report date | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Result | Move* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $13.95 | $17.73 | +27.1% | Beat | -3.0% |
| Jul 9, 2026 | $0.04 | -$0.02 | -150.0% | Miss | +1.1% |
| May 5, 2026 | $0.75 | $1.65 | +120.0% | Beat | -2.7% |
| Feb 3, 2026 | $2.71 | $4.07 | +50.2% | Beat | +10.8% |
| Jan 17, 2026 | $0.38 | $0.34 | -10.5% | Miss | +1.1% |
*Move: change in the closing price from the last close before the report day to the close the day after it, so it captures the reaction whether the company reported before the open or after the close.
ATLAS view on MPC before the report
| Last price | $444.73 (+2.8%) |
|---|---|
| ATLAS chance of a higher price in 1 month | 50% |
| Likely 1-month range (50%) | $414.07 – $476.60 |
| Normal 1-day range (±1σ) | ±2.4% |
| ATLAS fair value | $522.87 ($305.85 – $893.89) · price is 15% below |
These figures come from the same calibrated model and valuation as the Marathon Petroleum stock page. They describe an ordinary period, not the earnings reaction itself, which is usually wider and can go either way.
Get the full ATLAS analysis for MPC
See the fair value, the probability range and the earnings history of Marathon Petroleum on its ATLAS page.
Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock analysisPlans from €3.99 a month.
Marathon Petroleum earnings: frequently asked questions
When does Marathon Petroleum (MPC) report earnings?
Marathon Petroleum is scheduled to report on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, before the open. ATLAS only shows a confirmed date when the company or the exchange data provides one; check the investor relations page for the call details.
What is the EPS estimate for MPC?
The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter ended Sep 30, 2026 is $25.74 per share (USD). Estimates can change before the report.
How often does MPC beat earnings estimates?
Of its last 5 reports with a recorded result, Marathon Petroleum beat the EPS estimate 3 times; the average surprise was +7.3%. Past results do not predict the next one.
How much does MPC move around earnings?
Over its last 5 reports the stock moved an average of 3.7% (absolute, from the close before the report day to the close after it), and finished higher 3 of 5 times.
Did Marathon Petroleum beat earnings estimates last quarter?
Marathon Petroleum last reported on Aug 4, 2026: EPS of $17.73 against an estimate of $13.95 (+27.1% surprise), a beat.
How much does MPC usually move in a day?
On a normal trading day the ATLAS model puts MPC’s one-day range at about ±2.4%, with a 50% chance of closing higher. This is not an options-implied earnings move; earnings days are usually wider.
Also reporting on Tue, Nov 3, 2026
Educational information, not investment advice. Disclaimer