Chinese Estates (0127.HK)

Chinese Estates share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value

Real Estate · Real Estate - Diversified · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China

HK$0.975▼ -0.51%

Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD

ATLAS fair value

HK$0.714

Above fair value · 37% premium

Range: HK$0.468–HK$1.17Fair valuePrice

Chance of rising in 1 month

52%

that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions

0%coin flip 50%100%

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ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.

Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Chinese Estates

Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.

And for you

ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
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Plans from €3.99 a month.

ATLAS estimates Chinese Estates's fair value at about HK$0.714 per share (reasonable range: HK$0.468 to HK$1.17). At HK$0.975, the stock trades 37% above it.

It is calculated with a discounted cash-flow model. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.

ATLAS's model gives Chinese Estates a 52% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.

In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$0.940 and HK$1.02; in 9 out of 10, between HK$0.876 and HK$1.09. Estimated annual volatility is 16%.

Price, last 12 months (weekly close)

Key numbers

Market cap: HK$1.9B
Market cap (USD): $237M
52-week high: HK$1.34
52-week low: HK$0.960
Revenue (12 months): HK$270M
Gross margin: 82.5%
Operating margin: 0.1%
Net margin: -66.0%
Beta: 0.49

What this means

These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Chinese Estates sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.

Over the last 52 weeks 0127.HK has traded between HK$0.960 and HK$1.34. Today it is 27.2% below that high and 2% above its low.

Its beta is 0.49: it tends to move less than the market.

About the company

Chinese Estates Holdings Limited is one of the leading property developers in Hong Kong. Chinese Estates Holdings Limited is the holding company of the Group and it is publicly listed on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited with stock code: 127.

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Comparable companies

Other companies in the same line of business:

Frequently asked questions

What is Chinese Estates (0127.HK) fair value?

About HK$0.714 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$0.468 to HK$1.17). With the stock at HK$0.975, it is 37% above it.

What is the chance 0127.HK goes up next month?

52%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 0127.HK ends the month between HK$0.940 and HK$1.02.

How big is Chinese Estates and what is its P/E ratio?

Chinese Estates's market capitalization is HK$1.9B. We do not show a P/E because it has no positive earnings to base one on.

How volatile is 0127.HK?

ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 16%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between HK$0.940 and HK$1.02.

Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer