ATLASATLAS fair value
HK$9.01
Close to fair value · 8% discount
Range: HK$8.11–HK$9.91Fair valuePrice
China Citic Bank (0998.HK)
China Citic Bank share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China
HK$8.30▲ +1.16%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD
Chance of rising in 1 month
53%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on China Citic Bank in ATLAS
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- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On China Citic Bank
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates China Citic Bank's fair value at about HK$9.01 per share (reasonable range: HK$8.11 to HK$9.91). At HK$8.30, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives China Citic Bank a 53% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$8.03 and HK$8.65; in 9 out of 10, between HK$7.51 and HK$9.24. Estimated annual volatility is 21%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- P/E ratio
- 6.2
- Dividend yield
- 4.71%
- 52-week high
- HK$8.70
- 52-week low
- HK$6.50
- Revenue (12 months)
- CN¥155B
- Gross margin
- 98.9%
- Operating margin
- 60.5%
- Net margin
- 46.2%
- Beta
- -0.05
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. China Citic Bank sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 0998.HK has traded between HK$6.50 and HK$8.70. Today it is 4.5% below that high and 28% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 46.2%; it trades at 6.2 times earnings.
Its beta is -0.05: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
China CITIC Bank Corporation Limited provides various banking products and services in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates in three segments: Corporate Banking, Retail Banking, and Financial Market business.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is China Citic Bank (0998.HK) fair value?
About HK$9.01 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$8.11 to HK$9.91). With the stock at HK$8.30, it is close to that value.
What is the chance 0998.HK goes up next month?
53%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 0998.HK ends the month between HK$8.03 and HK$8.65.
How big is China Citic Bank and what is its P/E ratio?
Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 6.2: you pay HK$6.20 for each HK$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does China Citic Bank pay a dividend?
Yes. 0998.HK's current dividend yield is 4.71% at today's price (HK$8.30).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer