ATLASATLAS fair value
HK$0.625
Above fair value · 106% premium
Range: HK$0.563–HK$0.688Fair valuePrice
China Modern Dairy (1117.HK)
China Modern Dairy share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Defensive · Farm Products · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China
HK$1.29▼ -1.53%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD
Chance of rising in 1 month
48%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on China Modern Dairy in ATLAS
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- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On China Modern Dairy
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates China Modern Dairy's fair value at about HK$0.625 per share (reasonable range: HK$0.563 to HK$0.688). At HK$1.29, the stock trades 106% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives China Modern Dairy a 48% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$1.17 and HK$1.41; in 9 out of 10, between HK$0.991 and HK$1.66. Estimated annual volatility is 56%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- HK$10.5B
- Market cap (USD)
- $1.3B
- 52-week high
- HK$1.74
- 52-week low
- HK$0.880
- Revenue (12 months)
- CN¥13.1B
- Gross margin
- 27.3%
- Operating margin
- 17.1%
- Net margin
- -1.5%
- Beta
- 0.44
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. China Modern Dairy sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 1117.HK has traded between HK$0.880 and HK$1.74. Today it is 25.7% below that high and 47% above its low.
Its beta is 0.44: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd., an investment holding company, operates dairy farming and produces raw milk in Mainland China, the United States, and internationally.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is China Modern Dairy (1117.HK) fair value?
About HK$0.625 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$0.563 to HK$0.688). With the stock at HK$1.29, it is 106% above it.
What is the chance 1117.HK goes up next month?
48%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 1117.HK ends the month between HK$1.17 and HK$1.41.
How big is China Modern Dairy and what is its P/E ratio?
China Modern Dairy's market capitalization is HK$10.5B. We do not show a P/E because it has no positive earnings to base one on.
How volatile is 1117.HK?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 56%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between HK$1.17 and HK$1.41.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer