Canggang Railway (2169.HK)

Canggang Railway share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value

Industrials · Railroads · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China

HK$0.545▲ +0.93%

Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD

ATLAS fair value

HK$0.374

Above fair value · 46% premium

Range: HK$0.243–HK$0.606Fair valuePrice

Chance of rising in 1 month

50%

that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions

0%coin flip 50%100%

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Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
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On Canggang Railway

Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.

And for you

ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
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Plans from €3.99 a month.

ATLAS estimates Canggang Railway's fair value at about HK$0.374 per share (reasonable range: HK$0.243 to HK$0.606). At HK$0.545, the stock trades 46% above it.

It is calculated with a discounted cash-flow model. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.

ATLAS's model gives Canggang Railway a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.

In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$0.508 and HK$0.584; in 9 out of 10, between HK$0.449 and HK$0.660. Estimated annual volatility is 27%.

Price, last 12 months (weekly close)

Key numbers

Market cap: HK$2.1B
Market cap (USD): $265M
P/E ratio: 27.0
52-week high: HK$0.870
52-week low: HK$0.450
Revenue (12 months): CN¥309M
Gross margin: 48.0%
Operating margin: 38.8%
Net margin: 20.4%
Beta: -0.10

What this means

These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Canggang Railway sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.

Over the last 52 weeks 2169.HK has traded between HK$0.450 and HK$0.870. Today it is 37.4% below that high and 21% above its low.

On the business: net margin is 20.4%; it trades at 27.0 times earnings.

Its beta is -0.10: it tends to move less than the market.

About the company

Canggang Railway Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of local railway in China. The company operates in two segments, Rail Freight Transportation and Ancillary Services.

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Comparable companies

Other companies in the same line of business:

Frequently asked questions

What is Canggang Railway (2169.HK) fair value?

About HK$0.374 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$0.243 to HK$0.606). With the stock at HK$0.545, it is 46% above it.

What is the chance 2169.HK goes up next month?

50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 2169.HK ends the month between HK$0.508 and HK$0.584.

How big is Canggang Railway and what is its P/E ratio?

Canggang Railway's market capitalization is HK$2.1B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 27.0: you pay HK$27.0 for each HK$1.00 of yearly earnings.

How volatile is 2169.HK?

ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 27%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between HK$0.508 and HK$0.584.

Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer