GCL-Poly Energy (3800.HK)

GCL-Poly Energy share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value

Technology · Solar · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China

HK$0.600▼ -1.64%

Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD

ATLAS fair value

HK$0.718

Below fair value · 16% discount

Range: HK$0.646–HK$0.790Fair valuePrice

Chance of rising in 1 month

48%

that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions

0%coin flip 50%100%

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ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.

Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On GCL-Poly Energy

Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.

And for you

ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.

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Plans from €3.99 a month.

ATLAS estimates GCL-Poly Energy's fair value at about HK$0.718 per share (reasonable range: HK$0.646 to HK$0.790). At HK$0.600, the stock trades 16% below it.

It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.

ATLAS's model gives GCL-Poly Energy a 48% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.

In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$0.538 and HK$0.658; in 9 out of 10, between HK$0.451 and HK$0.785. Estimated annual volatility is 58%.

Price, last 12 months (weekly close)

Key numbers

Market cap: HK$19.6B
Market cap (USD): $2.5B
52-week high: HK$1.51
52-week low: HK$0.550
Revenue (12 months): CN¥14.5B
Gross margin: 11.1%
Operating margin: -28.6%
Net margin: -21.9%
Beta: 0.65

What this means

These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. GCL-Poly Energy sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.

Over the last 52 weeks 3800.HK has traded between HK$0.550 and HK$1.51. Today it is 60.3% below that high and 9% above its low.

Its beta is 0.65: it tends to move less than the market.

About the company

GCL Technology Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells polysilicon and wafers products in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through Solar Material Business and Solar Farm Business segments.

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Plans from €3.99 a month.

Comparable companies

Other companies in the same line of business:

Frequently asked questions

What is GCL-Poly Energy (3800.HK) fair value?

About HK$0.718 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$0.646 to HK$0.790). With the stock at HK$0.600, it is 16% below it.

What is the chance 3800.HK goes up next month?

48%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 3800.HK ends the month between HK$0.538 and HK$0.658.

How big is GCL-Poly Energy and what is its P/E ratio?

GCL-Poly Energy's market capitalization is HK$19.6B. We do not show a P/E because it has no positive earnings to base one on.

How volatile is 3800.HK?

ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 58%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between HK$0.538 and HK$0.658.

Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer