ATLASATLAS fair value
CN¥12.00
Below fair value · 28% discount
Range: CN¥11–CN¥13Fair valuePrice
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (601398.SHG)
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Financial Services · Banks - Diversified · Shanghai Stock Exchange · China
CN¥8.58▲ +3.13%
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · CNY
Chance of rising in 1 month
53%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Industrial and Commercial Bank of China in ATLAS
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On Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Industrial and Commercial Bank of China's fair value at about CN¥12.00 per share (reasonable range: CN¥10.80 to CN¥13.20). At CN¥8.58, the stock trades 28% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Industrial and Commercial Bank of China a 53% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CN¥8.31 and CN¥8.93; in 9 out of 10, between CN¥7.80 and CN¥9.51. Estimated annual volatility is 22%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CN¥3.0T
- Market cap (USD)
- $453B
- P/E ratio
- 8.4
- Dividend yield
- 3.76%
- 52-week high
- CN¥8.65
- 52-week low
- CN¥6.85
- Revenue (12 months)
- CN¥682B
- Operating margin
- 65.7%
- Net margin
- 54.8%
- Beta
- 0.14
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 601398.SHG has traded between CN¥6.85 and CN¥8.65. Today it is 0.8% below that high and 25% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 54.8%; it trades at 8.4 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.14: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking products and services in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through Corporate Banking, Personal Banking, and Treasury Operations segments.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (601398.SHG) fair value?
About CN¥12.00 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CN¥10.80 to CN¥13.20). With the stock at CN¥8.58, it is 28% below it.
What is the chance 601398.SHG goes up next month?
53%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 601398.SHG ends the month between CN¥8.31 and CN¥8.93.
How big is Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and what is its P/E ratio?
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China's market capitalization is CN¥3.0T. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 8.4: you pay CN¥8.40 for each CN¥1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Industrial and Commercial Bank of China pay a dividend?
Yes. 601398.SHG's current dividend yield is 3.76% at today's price (CN¥8.58).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer