ATLASATLAS fair value
HK$141.93
Close to fair value · 7% discount
Range: HK$95–HK$211Fair valuePrice
Pop Mart International (9992.HK)
Pop Mart International share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Leisure · Hong Kong Exchanges (HKEX) · Hong Kong SAR China
HK$132.00▼ -0.75%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · HKD
Chance of rising in 1 month
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Pop Mart International in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Pop Mart International
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Pop Mart International's fair value at about HK$141.93 per share (reasonable range: HK$95.34 to HK$211.29). At HK$132.00, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Pop Mart International a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between HK$124.43 and HK$140.26; in 9 out of 10, between HK$111.90 and HK$155.96. Estimated annual volatility is 25%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- HK$171B
- Market cap (USD)
- $21.8B
- P/E ratio
- 11.6
- Dividend yield
- 1.75%
- 52-week high
- HK$274.20
- 52-week low
- HK$125.80
- Revenue (12 months)
- HK$40.4B
- Gross margin
- 71.7%
- Operating margin
- 43.1%
- Net margin
- 32.8%
- Beta
- 1.02
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Pop Mart International sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks 9992.HK has traded between HK$125.80 and HK$274.20. Today it is 51.9% below that high and 5% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 32.8%; it trades at 11.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.02: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
Pop Mart International Group Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, and sells pop toys in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally. The company offers blind boxes.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Pop Mart International (9992.HK) fair value?
About HK$141.93 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: HK$95.34 to HK$211.29). With the stock at HK$132.00, it is close to that value.
What is the chance 9992.HK goes up next month?
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, 9992.HK ends the month between HK$124.43 and HK$140.26.
How big is Pop Mart International and what is its P/E ratio?
Pop Mart International's market capitalization is HK$171B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 11.6: you pay HK$11.6 for each HK$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Pop Mart International pay a dividend?
Yes. 9992.HK's current dividend yield is 1.75% at today's price (HK$132.00).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer