ATLAS fair value
€171.41
Above fair value · 12% premium
Airbus stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · Xetra (Deutsche Börse) · Germany
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026 · EUR
€171.41
Above fair value · 12% premium
53%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Airbus's fair value at about €171.41 per share (reasonable range: €117.10 to €250.91). At €192.44, the stock trades 12% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Airbus a 53% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between €185.94 and €200.68; in 9 out of 10, between €173.79 and €214.72. Estimated annual volatility is 20%.
At a P/E ratio of 25.6, Airbus is valued above the sector median of 19.1.
| Measure | Airbus | Sector median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 25.6 | 19.1 |
| Net margin | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Price vs fair value (+ above, − below) | +12% | -14% |
Median of the 64 Industrials companies ATLAS covers (Germany). Airbus ranks #2 of 64 by market value among them.
Airbus shares fell 9.8% between the Oct 31, 2025 close (€213.40) and the Oct 30, 2026 close (€192.44). Weekly closes over the period ranged from €160.52 to €217.30. Past performance does not predict future results.
Key numbers for AIR.XETRA next to comparable companies in the same line of business.
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Net margin | Price vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airbus (AIR.XETRA) | $170B | 25.6 | 8.1% | +12% |
| Rheinmetall (RHM.XETRA) | $52.7B | 40.9 | 6.3% | -5% |
| MTU Aero Engines (MTX.XETRA) | $21.4B | 19.1 | 10.2% | -29% |
| Hensoldt (HAG.XETRA) | $10.5B | 81.4 | 4.5% | +9% |
| TKMS AG & Co (TKMS.XETRA) | $5.6B | 67.6 | 3.3% | -26% |
Price vs fair value: + means the price is above the ATLAS fair value estimate, − below it. Market cap in US dollars.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Airbus sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks AIR.XETRA has traded between €157.48 and €221.25. Today it is 13.0% below that high and 22% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 8.1%; it trades at 25.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.89: it moves roughly in line with the market.
Airbus SE, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and delivery of aeronautics and aerospace products, services, and solutions worldwide. It operates through three segments: Airbus, Airbus Helicopters, and Airbus Defence and Space.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About €171.41 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: €117.10 to €250.91). With the stock at €192.44, it is 12% above it.
53%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, AIR.XETRA ends the month between €185.94 and €200.68.
Airbus's market capitalization is €152B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 25.6: you pay €25.6 for each €1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. AIR.XETRA's current dividend yield is 1.63% at today's price (€192.44).
Airbus shares fell 9.8% between the Oct 31, 2025 close (€213.40) and the Oct 30, 2026 close (€192.44). Weekly closes over the period ranged from €160.52 to €217.30. Past performance does not predict future results.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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