ATLASATLAS fair value
PLN 39.43
Above fair value · 51% premium
Range: PLN 36–PLN 62Fair valuePrice
Allegro.eu (ALE.WAR)
Allegro.eu stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail · Warsaw Stock Exchange · Poland
PLN 59.55▼ -0.58%
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026 · PLN
Chance of rising in 1 month
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Allegro.eu in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Allegro.eu
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Allegro.eu's fair value at about PLN 39.43 per share (reasonable range: PLN 36.46 to PLN 61.61). At PLN 59.55, the stock trades 51% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is high. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Allegro.eu a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between PLN 56.81 and PLN 62.72; in 9 out of 10, between PLN 52.03 and PLN 68.49. Estimated annual volatility is 28%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- PLN 59.6B
- Market cap (USD)
- $15.1B
- P/E ratio
- 30.5
- 52-week high
- PLN 60.23
- 52-week low
- PLN 25.53
- Revenue (12 months)
- PLN 12.3B
- Gross margin
- 34.1%
- Operating margin
- 20.3%
- Net margin
- 13.9%
- Beta
- 0.60
How Allegro.eu compares
Against the Consumer Cyclical sector
At a P/E ratio of 30.5, Allegro.eu is valued above the sector median of 14.2.
| Measure | Allegro.eu | Sector median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 30.5 | 14.2 |
| Net margin | 13.9% | 5.1% |
| Price vs fair value (+ above, − below) | +51% | -23% |
Median of the 17 Consumer Cyclical companies ATLAS covers (Poland). Allegro.eu ranks #1 of 17 by market value among them.
Allegro.eu stock performance over the past year
Allegro.eu shares rose 72.6% between the Oct 31, 2025 close (PLN 34.50) and the Oct 30, 2026 close (PLN 59.55). Weekly closes over the period ranged from PLN 26.10 to PLN 59.55. Past performance does not predict future results.
Allegro.eu compared with peers
Key numbers for ALE.WAR next to comparable companies in the same line of business.
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Net margin | Price vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allegro.eu (ALE.WAR) | $15.1B | 30.5 | 13.9% | +51% |
| Answear.com (ANR.WAR) | $106M | 99.4 | 0.2% | – |
| LPP (LPP.WAR) | $12.4B | 25.6 | 7.9% | -54% |
| Benefit Systems (BFT.WAR) | $4.6B | 22.9 | 15.5% | +21% |
| Inter Cars (CAR.WAR) | $3.6B | 14.6 | 4.2% | +30% |
Price vs fair value: + means the price is above the ATLAS fair value estimate, − below it. Market cap in US dollars.
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Allegro.eu sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ALE.WAR has traded between PLN 25.53 and PLN 60.23. Today it is 1.1% below that high and 133% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 13.9%; it trades at 30.5 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.60: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
eu S.A. operates a commerce platform for consumers in Poland, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, and internationally. It operates through Allegro, Ceneo, Allegro International, and Other segments.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Allegro.eu (ALE.WAR) fair value?
About PLN 39.43 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: PLN 36.46 to PLN 61.61). With the stock at PLN 59.55, it is 51% above it.
What is the chance ALE.WAR goes up next month?
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ALE.WAR ends the month between PLN 56.81 and PLN 62.72.
How big is Allegro.eu and what is its P/E ratio?
Allegro.eu's market capitalization is PLN 59.6B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 30.5: you pay PLN 30.5 for each PLN 1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is ALE.WAR?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 28%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between PLN 56.81 and PLN 62.72.
How has ALE.WAR stock performed over the past year?
Allegro.eu shares rose 72.6% between the Oct 31, 2025 close (PLN 34.50) and the Oct 30, 2026 close (PLN 59.55). Weekly closes over the period ranged from PLN 26.10 to PLN 59.55. Past performance does not predict future results.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer