ATLASATLAS fair value
R$8.74
Above fair value · 57% premium
Range: R$5.97–R$8.98Fair valuePrice
Alpargatas S.A. PN (BVMF: ALPA4) stock price
Alpargatas S.A. PN (BVMF: ALPA4) closed at R$13.71 on Nov 9, 2026 (+6.53%). 52-week range R$10.80–R$18.68; ATLAS model fair value R$8.74.
Updated Nov 9, 2026 · Source: EODHD / ATLAS model
Alpargatas S.A. PN stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories · B3 (Brasil Bolsa Balcão) · Brazil
R$13.71▲ +6.53%
Prices as of Nov 9, 2026 · BRL
- Market cap
- R$8.4B
- P/E ratio
- 13.3
- 52-week range
- R$10.80 – R$18.68
Chance of rising in 1 month
47%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Alpargatas S.A. PN in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Alpargatas S.A. PN
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Alpargatas S.A. PN's fair value at about R$8.74 per share (reasonable range: R$5.97 to R$8.98). At R$13.71, the stock trades 57% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Alpargatas S.A. PN a 47% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between R$12.12 and R$15.15; in 9 out of 10, between R$9.94 and R$18.47. Estimated annual volatility is 70%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- R$8.4B
- Market cap (USD)
- $1.5B
- P/E ratio
- 13.3
- Dividend yield
- 14.18%
- 52-week high
- R$18.68
- 52-week low
- R$10.80
- Revenue (12 months)
- R$4.8B
- Gross margin
- 53.0%
- Operating margin
- 17.1%
- Net margin
- 14.5%
- Beta
- 0.61
How Alpargatas S.A. PN compares
Against the Consumer Cyclical sector
At a P/E ratio of 13.3, Alpargatas S.A. PN is valued above the sector median of 8.9.
| Measure | Alpargatas S.A. PN | Sector median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 13.3 | 8.9 |
| Net margin | 14.5% | 8.1% |
| Price vs fair value (+ above, − below) | +57% | -34% |
Median of the 20 Consumer Cyclical companies ATLAS covers (Brazil). Alpargatas S.A. PN ranks #6 of 20 by market value among them.
Alpargatas S.A. PN stock performance over the past year
Alpargatas S.A. PN shares rose 17.6% between the Nov 7, 2025 close (R$11.66) and the Nov 9, 2026 close (R$13.71). Weekly closes over the period ranged from R$10.91 to R$17.88. Past performance does not predict future results.
Alpargatas S.A. PN compared with peers
Key numbers for ALPA4.SA next to comparable companies in the same line of business.
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Net margin | Price vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alpargatas S.A. PN (BVMF: ALPA4) | $1.5B | 13.3 | 14.5% | +57% |
| Alpargatas (BVMF: ALPA3) | $1.4B | 10.3 | 14.5% | +17% |
| Vulcabras Azaleia (BVMF: VULC3) | $975M | 4.1 | 24.9% | -44% |
| Grendene (BVMF: GRND3) | $639M | 6.1 | 22.7% | -11% |
| Grupo Mateus (BVMF: GMAT3) | $1.6B | 5.4 | 4.0% | -40% |
Price vs fair value: + means the price is above the ATLAS fair value estimate, − below it. Market cap in US dollars.
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Alpargatas S.A. PN sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ALPA4.SA has traded between R$10.80 and R$18.68. Today it is 26.6% below that high and 27% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 14.5%; it trades at 13.3 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.61: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Alpargatas S.A. manufactures and sells footwear and accessories in Brazil and internationally. The company offers its products under the Havaianas, ioasys, and Rothys brands. The company was formerly known as São Paulo Alpargatas S.A. and changed its name to Alpargatas S.A. in 2010.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Alpargatas S.A. PN (ALPA4.SA) fair value?
About R$8.74 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: R$5.97 to R$8.98). With the stock at R$13.71, it is 57% above it.
What is the chance ALPA4.SA goes up next month?
47%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ALPA4.SA ends the month between R$12.12 and R$15.15.
How big is Alpargatas S.A. PN and what is its P/E ratio?
Alpargatas S.A. PN's market capitalization is R$8.4B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 13.3: you pay R$13.3 for each R$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Alpargatas S.A. PN pay a dividend?
Yes. ALPA4.SA's current dividend yield is 14.18% at today's price (R$13.71).
How has ALPA4.SA stock performed over the past year?
Alpargatas S.A. PN shares rose 17.6% between the Nov 7, 2025 close (R$11.66) and the Nov 9, 2026 close (R$13.71). Weekly closes over the period ranged from R$10.91 to R$17.88. Past performance does not predict future results.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer