ATLAS fair value
ZAR 1,006
Above fair value · 42% premium
AngloGold Ashanti share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Gold · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
ZAR 1,006
Above fair value · 42% premium
48%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates AngloGold Ashanti's fair value at about ZAR 1,006 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 821.74 to ZAR 1,220). At ZAR 1,432, the stock trades 42% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives AngloGold Ashanti a 48% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 1,306 and ZAR 1,555; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 1,120 and ZAR 1,814. Estimated annual volatility is 51%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. AngloGold Ashanti sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ANG.JSE has traded between ZAR 1,101 and ZAR 2,147. Today it is 33.3% below that high and 30% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 32.2%; it trades at 12.2 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.74: it tends to move less than the market.
AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a gold mining company in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. It explores for gold, as well as by-products, including silver and sulphuric acid.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About ZAR 1,006 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 821.74 to ZAR 1,220). With the stock at ZAR 1,432, it is 42% above it.
48%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ANG.JSE ends the month between ZAR 1,306 and ZAR 1,555.
AngloGold Ashanti's market capitalization is ZAR 774B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 12.2: you pay ZAR 12.2 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 51%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between ZAR 1,306 and ZAR 1,555.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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