ATLASATLAS fair value
CA$28.65
Above fair value · 22% premium
Range: CA$27–CA$44Fair valuePrice
Aya Gold & Silver (AYA.TO)
Aya Gold & Silver stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Silver · Toronto Stock Exchange · Canada
CA$35.00▲ +4.70%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CAD
Chance of rising in 1 month
47%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Aya Gold & Silver in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Aya Gold & Silver
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Aya Gold & Silver's fair value at about CA$28.65 per share (reasonable range: CA$27.01 to CA$44.35). At CA$35.00, the stock trades 22% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Aya Gold & Silver a 47% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CA$30.52 and CA$38.95; in 9 out of 10, between CA$24.59 and CA$48.35. Estimated annual volatility is 71%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CA$5.2B
- Market cap (USD)
- $3.7B
- P/E ratio
- 34.2
- 52-week high
- CA$43.12
- 52-week low
- CA$13.12
- Revenue (12 months)
- $344M
- Gross margin
- 61.4%
- Operating margin
- 54.9%
- Net margin
- 32.8%
- Beta
- 1.68
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Aya Gold & Silver sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks AYA.TO has traded between CA$13.12 and CA$43.12. Today it is 18.8% below that high and 167% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 32.8%; it trades at 34.2 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.68: it tends to move more than the market, both up and down.
About the company
Aya Gold & Silver Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of precious metals projects in Morocco. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Aya Gold & Silver (AYA.TO) fair value?
About CA$28.65 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CA$27.01 to CA$44.35). With the stock at CA$35.00, it is 22% above it.
What is the chance AYA.TO goes up next month?
47%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, AYA.TO ends the month between CA$30.52 and CA$38.95.
How big is Aya Gold & Silver and what is its P/E ratio?
Aya Gold & Silver's market capitalization is CA$5.2B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 34.2: you pay CA$34.2 for each CA$1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is AYA.TO?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 71%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between CA$30.52 and CA$38.95.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer