ATLASATLAS fair value
A$2.30
Below fair value · 62% discount
Range: A$1.34–A$3.94Fair valuePrice
Bapcor (BAP.AU)
Bapcor share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
A$0.870▲ +6.10%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
Chance of rising in 1 month
45%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Bapcor in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Bapcor
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Bapcor's fair value at about A$2.30 per share (reasonable range: A$1.34 to A$3.94). At A$0.870, the stock trades 62% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Bapcor a 45% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$0.721 and A$0.990; in 9 out of 10, between A$0.544 and A$1.31. Estimated annual volatility is 100%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- A$483M
- Market cap (USD)
- $340M
- 52-week high
- A$2.61
- 52-week low
- A$0.355
- Revenue (12 months)
- A$1.9B
- Gross margin
- 44.9%
- Operating margin
- 2.2%
- Net margin
- -22.4%
- Beta
- 0.37
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Bapcor sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks BAP.AU has traded between A$0.355 and A$2.61. Today it is 66.7% below that high and 145% above its low.
Its beta is 0.37: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Bapcor Limited, together with its subsidiaries, sells and distributes aftermarket vehicle parts, accessories, automotive equipment, and service and solutions in Australia, New Zealand, and Thailand. It operates in four segments: Trade, Networks, Retail, and New Zealand.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Bapcor (BAP.AU) fair value?
About A$2.30 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$1.34 to A$3.94). With the stock at A$0.870, it is 62% below it.
What is the chance BAP.AU goes up next month?
45%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, BAP.AU ends the month between A$0.721 and A$0.990.
How big is Bapcor and what is its P/E ratio?
Bapcor's market capitalization is A$483M. We do not show a P/E because it has no positive earnings to base one on.
How volatile is BAP.AU?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 100%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between A$0.721 and A$0.990.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer