ATLAS fair value
€141.76
Below fair value · 45% discount
Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Industrials · Railroads · Bolsa de Madrid (BME) · Spain
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · EUR
€141.76
Below fair value · 45% discount
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles's fair value at about €141.76 per share (reasonable range: €117.27 to €169.65). At €78.50, the stock trades 45% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between €74.86 and €82.70; in 9 out of 10, between €68.54 and €90.33. Estimated annual volatility is 30%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks CAF.MC has traded between €49.90 and €82.30. Today it is 4.6% below that high and 57% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 3.6%; it trades at 15.5 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.76: it tends to move less than the market.
Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles, S.A. develops and sells rail and bus transport solutions in Spain, rest of Europe, the United States, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It offers trains, buses, components, signaling systems, and turnkey mobility solutions.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About €141.76 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: €117.27 to €169.65). With the stock at €78.50, it is 45% below it.
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, CAF.MC ends the month between €74.86 and €82.70.
Construcciones y Auxiliar de Ferrocarriles's market capitalization is €2.7B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.5: you pay €15.5 for each €1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. CAF.MC's current dividend yield is 1.96% at today's price (€78.50).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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