ATLAS fair value
R$5.65
Close to fair value · 3% discount
Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA PN (BVMF: FESA4) closed at R$5.49 on Nov 12, 2026 (-1.61%). 52-week range R$4.75–R$8.90; ATLAS model fair value R$5.65.
Updated Nov 12, 2026 · Source: EODHD / ATLAS model
Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA PN stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Steel · B3 (Brasil Bolsa Balcão) · Brazil
Prices as of Nov 12, 2026 · BRL
R$5.65
Close to fair value · 3% discount
49%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA PN's fair value at about R$5.65 per share (reasonable range: R$4.82 to R$6.08). At R$5.49, the stock trades within 8% of that figure: close to fair value.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA PN a 49% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between R$5.03 and R$5.95; in 9 out of 10, between R$4.33 and R$6.90. Estimated annual volatility is 53%.
At a P/E ratio of 12.6, Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA PN is valued below the sector median of 15.2.
| Measure | Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA PN | Sector median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 12.6 | 15.2 |
| Net margin | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Price vs fair value (+ above, − below) | -3% | -28% |
Median of the 24 Basic Materials companies ATLAS covers (Brazil). Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA PN ranks #20 of 24 by market value among them.
Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA PN shares fell 25.6% between the Nov 7, 2025 close (R$7.38) and the Nov 12, 2026 close (R$5.49). Weekly closes over the period ranged from R$4.80 to R$8.48. Past performance does not predict future results.
Key numbers for FESA4.SA next to comparable companies in the same line of business.
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Net margin | Price vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA PN (BVMF: FESA4) | $417M | 12.6 | 6.8% | -3% |
| Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA (BVMF: FESA3) | $417M | 22.3 | 6.8% | +71% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional (BVMF: CSNA3) | $994M | – | -5.8% | -47% |
| Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais S.A. PNA (BVMF: USIM5) | $1.0B | 4.0 | 5.9% | -65% |
| Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais (BVMF: USIM3) | $1.0B | 4.0 | -9.4% | -66% |
Price vs fair value: + means the price is above the ATLAS fair value estimate, − below it. Market cap in US dollars.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA PN sits close to fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks FESA4.SA has traded between R$4.75 and R$8.90. Today it is 38.3% below that high and 16% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 6.8%; it trades at 12.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.23: it tends to move less than the market.
Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia S.A. - FERBASA manufactures and sells ferroalloys, ferrochrome, and ferrosilicon in Brazil and internationally. It operates through Ferroalloys, Wind Energy, and Others segments.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About R$5.65 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: R$4.82 to R$6.08). With the stock at R$5.49, it is close to that value.
49%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, FESA4.SA ends the month between R$5.03 and R$5.95.
Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA PN's market capitalization is R$2.4B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 12.6: you pay R$12.6 for each R$1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 53%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between R$5.03 and R$5.95.
Cia de Ferro Ligas da Bahia - FERBASA PN shares fell 25.6% between the Nov 7, 2025 close (R$7.38) and the Nov 12, 2026 close (R$5.49). Weekly closes over the period ranged from R$4.80 to R$8.48. Past performance does not predict future results.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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