ATLASATLAS fair value
R$25.42
Below fair value · 56% discount
Range: R$21–R$38Fair valuePrice
Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN (BVMF: GOAU4) stock price
Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN (BVMF: GOAU4) closed at R$11.07 on Nov 12, 2026 (-0.90%). 52-week range R$7.59–R$13.30; ATLAS model fair value R$25.42.
Updated Nov 12, 2026 · Source: EODHD / ATLAS model
Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Steel · B3 (Brasil Bolsa Balcão) · Brazil
R$11.07▼ -0.90%
Prices as of Nov 12, 2026 · BRL
- Market cap
- R$14.0B
- P/E ratio
- 15.1
- 52-week range
- R$7.59 – R$13.30
Chance of rising in 1 month
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN's fair value at about R$25.42 per share (reasonable range: R$20.53 to R$37.80). At R$11.07, the stock trades 56% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between R$10.41 and R$11.78; in 9 out of 10, between R$9.33 and R$13.15. Estimated annual volatility is 38%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- R$14.0B
- Market cap (USD)
- $2.5B
- P/E ratio
- 15.1
- Dividend yield
- 4.02%
- 52-week high
- R$13.30
- 52-week low
- R$7.59
- Revenue (12 months)
- R$69.5B
- Gross margin
- 13.1%
- Operating margin
- 12.8%
- Net margin
- 1.1%
- Beta
- 0.78
How Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN compares
Against the Basic Materials sector
At a P/E ratio of 15.1, Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN is valued in line with the sector median of 15.2.
| Measure | Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN | Sector median |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 15.1 | 15.2 |
| Net margin | 1.1% | 3.2% |
| Price vs fair value (+ above, − below) | -56% | -28% |
Median of the 24 Basic Materials companies ATLAS covers (Brazil). Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN ranks #9 of 24 by market value among them.
Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN stock performance over the past year
Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN shares fell 0.3% between the Nov 7, 2025 close (R$11.10) and the Nov 12, 2026 close (R$11.07). Weekly closes over the period ranged from R$7.82 to R$11.75. Past performance does not predict future results.
Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN compared with peers
Key numbers for GOAU4.SA next to comparable companies in the same line of business.
| Company | Market cap | P/E | Net margin | Price vs fair value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN (BVMF: GOAU4) | $2.5B | 15.1 | 1.1% | -56% |
| Metalurgica Gerdau (BVMF: GOAU3) | – | 16.2 | 1.1% | -61% |
| CSN Mineração (BVMF: CMIN3) | $4.6B | 11.1 | 13.4% | -23% |
| Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais S.A. PNA (BVMF: USIM5) | $1.0B | 4.0 | 5.9% | -65% |
| Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais (BVMF: USIM3) | $1.0B | 4.0 | -9.4% | -66% |
Price vs fair value: + means the price is above the ATLAS fair value estimate, − below it. Market cap in US dollars.
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks GOAU4.SA has traded between R$7.59 and R$13.30. Today it is 16.8% below that high and 46% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 1.1%; it trades at 15.1 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.78: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Metalurgica Gerdau S.A., together with its subsidiaries, produces and supplies long steel products in Brazil, the Americas, and internationally.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN (GOAU4.SA) fair value?
About R$25.42 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: R$20.53 to R$37.80). With the stock at R$11.07, it is 56% below it.
What is the chance GOAU4.SA goes up next month?
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, GOAU4.SA ends the month between R$10.41 and R$11.78.
How big is Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN and what is its P/E ratio?
Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN's market capitalization is R$14.0B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.1: you pay R$15.1 for each R$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN pay a dividend?
Yes. GOAU4.SA's current dividend yield is 4.02% at today's price (R$11.07).
How has GOAU4.SA stock performed over the past year?
Metalurgica Gerdau S.A PN shares fell 0.3% between the Nov 7, 2025 close (R$11.10) and the Nov 12, 2026 close (R$11.07). Weekly closes over the period ranged from R$7.82 to R$11.75. Past performance does not predict future results.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer