ATLAS fair value
IDR 49,668
Below fair value · 50% discount
Indo Tambangraya Megah stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Energy · Thermal Coal · Indonesia Stock Exchange · Indonesia
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · IDR
IDR 49,668
Below fair value · 50% discount
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates Indo Tambangraya Megah's fair value at about IDR 49,668 per share (reasonable range: IDR 44,701 to IDR 54,635). At IDR 24,650, the stock trades 50% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Indo Tambangraya Megah a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between IDR 23,511 and IDR 25,967; in 9 out of 10, between IDR 21,528 and IDR 28,358. Estimated annual volatility is 30%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Indo Tambangraya Megah sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ITMG.JK has traded between IDR 20,900 and IDR 30,700. Today it is 19.7% below that high and 18% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 10.5%; it trades at 7.8 times earnings.
Its beta is -0.56: it tends to move less than the market.
PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, engages in coal mining and energy activities. It produces thermal coal for used in coal-fired power plants; and is involved in coal trading, fuel trading, energy marketing, and electricity generation.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About IDR 49,668 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: IDR 44,701 to IDR 54,635). With the stock at IDR 24,650, it is 50% below it.
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ITMG.JK ends the month between IDR 23,511 and IDR 25,967.
Indo Tambangraya Megah's market capitalization is IDR 28.3T. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 7.8: you pay IDR 7.77 for each IDR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 30%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between IDR 23,511 and IDR 25,967.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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