ATLASATLAS fair value
$98.35
Below fair value · 45% discount
Range: $89–$108Fair valuePrice
Main Street Capital (MAIN)
Main Street Capital stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Financial Services · Asset Management · NYSE
$54.04▲ +1.31%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · USD
Chance of rising in 1 month
54%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Main Street Capital in ATLAS
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On Main Street Capital
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Main Street Capital's fair value at about $98.35 per share (reasonable range: $88.52 to $108.19). At $54.04, the stock trades 45% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Main Street Capital a 54% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between $52.71 and $55.91; in 9 out of 10, between $50.03 and $58.92. Estimated annual volatility is 15%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- $5.2B
- P/E ratio
- 11.4
- Dividend yield
- 5.79%
- 52-week high
- $65.23
- 52-week low
- $48.95
- Revenue (12 months)
- $575M
- Revenue growth (YoY)
- -1.6%
- Earnings growth (YoY)
- -5.6%
- Return on equity
- 14.9%
- Free cash flow (12 months)
- $248M
- Beta
- 0.73
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Main Street Capital sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks MAIN has traded between $48.95 and $65.23. Today it is 17.2% below that high and 10% above its low.
On the business: revenue fell 1.6% year over year; it trades at 11.4 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.73: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Main Street Capital Corporation is a principal investment firm that provides customized long-term debt and equity capital to lower middle market companies and debt capital to private companies.
Want to see everything about Main Street Capital?
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Main Street Capital (MAIN) fair value?
About $98.35 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: $88.52 to $108.19). With the stock at $54.04, it is 45% below it.
What is the chance MAIN goes up next month?
54%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MAIN ends the month between $52.71 and $55.91.
How big is Main Street Capital and what is its P/E ratio?
Main Street Capital's market capitalization is $5.2B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 11.4: you pay $11.4 for each $1 of yearly earnings.
Does Main Street Capital pay a dividend?
Yes. MAIN's current dividend yield is 5.79% at today's price ($54.04).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer