ATLAS fair value
€3.40
Above fair value · 181% premium
Mercialys stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Real Estate · REIT - Retail · Euronext Paris · France
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · EUR
€3.40
Above fair value · 181% premium
54%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Mercialys's fair value at about €3.40 per share (reasonable range: €2.28 to €5.03). At €9.55, the stock trades 181% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is low. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Mercialys a 54% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between €9.28 and €9.91; in 9 out of 10, between €8.75 and €10.51. Estimated annual volatility is 19%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Mercialys sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks MERY.PA has traded between €9.34 and €12.98. Today it is 26.4% below that high and 2% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 11.4%; it trades at 16.9 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.86: it moves roughly in line with the market.
Mercialys SA is one of France's leading real estate companies. It specializes in the holding, management and transformation of retail spaces, anticipating consumer trends, on its own behalf and for third parties. 2 billion including transfer taxes.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About €3.40 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: €2.28 to €5.03). With the stock at €9.55, it is 181% above it.
54%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MERY.PA ends the month between €9.28 and €9.91.
Mercialys's market capitalization is €904M. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 16.9: you pay €16.9 for each €1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. MERY.PA's current dividend yield is 10.44% at today's price (€9.55).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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