ATLAS fair value
SEK 218.18
Above fair value · 10% premium
MilDef stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · Nasdaq Stockholm · Sweden
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · SEK
SEK 218.18
Above fair value · 10% premium
49%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates MilDef's fair value at about SEK 218.18 per share (reasonable range: SEK 127.78 to SEK 264.76). At SEK 239.30, the stock trades 10% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives MilDef a 49% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between SEK 218.73 and SEK 259.50; in 9 out of 10, between SEK 187.99 and SEK 301.94. Estimated annual volatility is 46%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. MilDef sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks MILDEF.ST has traded between SEK 110.20 and SEK 254.80. Today it is 6.1% below that high and 117% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 10.0%; it trades at 31.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.07: it moves roughly in line with the market.
MilDef Group AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells rugged IT solutions in Sweden, Norway, Finland, Denmark, the United Kingdom, Germany, Switzerland, the United States, Australia, and internationally.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About SEK 218.18 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: SEK 127.78 to SEK 264.76). With the stock at SEK 239.30, it is 10% above it.
49%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MILDEF.ST ends the month between SEK 218.73 and SEK 259.50.
MilDef's market capitalization is SEK 10.4B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 31.6: you pay SEK 31.6 for each SEK 1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 46%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between SEK 218.73 and SEK 259.50.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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