ATLAS fair value
A$1.09
Below fair value · 48% discount
Maritana Minerals share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Gold · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
A$1.09
Below fair value · 48% discount
47%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates Maritana Minerals's fair value at about A$1.09 per share (reasonable range: A$0.830 to A$1.09). At A$0.570, the stock trades 48% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Maritana Minerals a 47% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$0.505 and A$0.629; in 9 out of 10, between A$0.416 and A$0.764. Estimated annual volatility is 58%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Maritana Minerals sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
On the business: net margin is 78.1%; it trades at 2.2 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.17: it tends to move more than the market, both up and down.
Maritana Minerals Limited engages in the exploration, development, and production of gold and other mineral resources in Australia. It primarily explores gold, nickel, cobalt, copper, silver, and zinc deposits.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About A$1.09 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$0.830 to A$1.09). With the stock at A$0.570, it is 48% below it.
47%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, MRT.AU ends the month between A$0.505 and A$0.629.
Maritana Minerals's market capitalization is A$228M. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 2.2: you pay A$2.23 for each A$1.00 of yearly earnings.
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 58%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between A$0.505 and A$0.629.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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