ATLASATLAS fair value
ZAR 16.33
Above fair value · 13% premium
Range: ZAR 9.93–ZAR 27Fair valuePrice
Netcare (NTC.JSE)
Netcare share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
ZAR 18.40▲ +4.55%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
Chance of rising in 1 month
54%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Netcare in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
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On Netcare
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Netcare's fair value at about ZAR 16.33 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 9.93 to ZAR 26.84). At ZAR 18.40, the stock trades 13% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Netcare a 54% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 17.91 and ZAR 19.07; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 16.95 and ZAR 20.15. Estimated annual volatility is 16%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- ZAR 20.9B
- Market cap (USD)
- $1.3B
- P/E ratio
- 12.2
- Dividend yield
- 0.05%
- 52-week high
- ZAR 19.42
- 52-week low
- ZAR 14.22
- Revenue (12 months)
- ZAR 26.9B
- Gross margin
- 49.5%
- Operating margin
- 13.2%
- Net margin
- 6.8%
- Beta
- 0.26
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Netcare sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks NTC.JSE has traded between ZAR 14.22 and ZAR 19.42. Today it is 5.3% below that high and 29% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 6.8%; it trades at 12.2 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.26: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Netcare Limited, an investment holding company, operates private hospitals in South Africa. It operates through Hospital and Emergency Services, and Primary Care segments. The Hospital and Emergency Services segment engages in the hospital and pharmacy operations.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Netcare (NTC.JSE) fair value?
About ZAR 16.33 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 9.93 to ZAR 26.84). With the stock at ZAR 18.40, it is 13% above it.
What is the chance NTC.JSE goes up next month?
54%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, NTC.JSE ends the month between ZAR 17.91 and ZAR 19.07.
How big is Netcare and what is its P/E ratio?
Netcare's market capitalization is ZAR 20.9B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 12.2: you pay ZAR 12.2 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Netcare pay a dividend?
Yes. NTC.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.05% at today's price (ZAR 18.40).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer