ATLAS fair value
ZAR 31.65
Below fair value · 55% discount
Old Mutual share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Financial Services · Financial Conglomerates · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
ZAR 31.65
Below fair value · 55% discount
52%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
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ATLAS estimates Old Mutual's fair value at about ZAR 31.65 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 28.48 to ZAR 34.81). At ZAR 14.15, the stock trades 55% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Old Mutual a 52% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 13.60 and ZAR 14.82; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 12.60 and ZAR 15.99. Estimated annual volatility is 25%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Old Mutual sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks OMU.JSE has traded between ZAR 12.43 and ZAR 17.00. Today it is 16.8% below that high and 14% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 7.2%; it trades at 7.4 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.61: it tends to move less than the market.
Old Mutual Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides financial solutions to retail and corporate customers in South Africa and rest of Africa.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About ZAR 31.65 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 28.48 to ZAR 34.81). With the stock at ZAR 14.15, it is 55% below it.
52%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, OMU.JSE ends the month between ZAR 13.60 and ZAR 14.82.
Old Mutual's market capitalization is ZAR 57.2B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 7.4: you pay ZAR 7.38 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. OMU.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.07% at today's price (ZAR 14.15).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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