ATLAS fair value
$174.73
Above fair value · 12% premium
Pool stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Industrials · Industrial Distribution · NASDAQ
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · USD
$174.73
Above fair value · 12% premium
48%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Pool's fair value at about $174.73 per share (reasonable range: $114.75 to $266.06). At $194.90, the stock trades 12% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Pool a 48% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between $176.42 and $212.59; in 9 out of 10, between $149.53 and $250.81. Estimated annual volatility is 59%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Pool sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks POOL has traded between $152.70 and $293.27. Today it is 33.5% below that high and 28% above its low.
On the business: revenue fell 0.4% year over year; net margin is 7.7%; it trades at 15.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.04: it moves roughly in line with the market.
Pool Corporation is a leading wholesale distributor of swimming pool supplies, equipment, and related outdoor living products. The company serves professional customers across multiple channels, including pool builders, remodelers, service technicians, specialty retailers, and commercial operators.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About $174.73 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: $114.75 to $266.06). With the stock at $194.90, it is 12% above it.
48%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, POOL ends the month between $176.42 and $212.59.
Pool's market capitalization is $6.3B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.8: you pay $15.8 for each $1 of yearly earnings.
Yes. POOL's current dividend yield is 2.62% at today's price ($194.90).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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