ATLAS fair value
A$4.09
Above fair value · 14% premium
Reef Casino Trust share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Resorts & Casinos · Australian Securities Exchange · Australia
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · AUD
A$4.09
Above fair value · 14% premium
48%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Reef Casino Trust's fair value at about A$4.09 per share (reasonable range: A$2.51 to A$6.88). At A$4.65, the stock trades 14% above it.
It is calculated with a discounted cash-flow model. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Reef Casino Trust a 48% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between A$4.20 and A$5.08; in 9 out of 10, between A$3.55 and A$6.01. Estimated annual volatility is 60%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Reef Casino Trust sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks RCT.AU has traded between A$3.30 and A$4.65. Today it is at its high and 41% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 20.8%; it trades at 21.1 times earnings.
Its beta is -0.03: it tends to move less than the market.
Reef Casino Trust operates as an owner and lessor of the Reef Hotel Casino complex located in Cairns in North Queensland, Australia. The company provides various dine options comprising Tamarind Restaurant, Soy Kitchen Street Food, Merchant Café, and Flinders Bar and Grill restaurants.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About A$4.09 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: A$2.51 to A$6.88). With the stock at A$4.65, it is 14% above it.
48%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, RCT.AU ends the month between A$4.20 and A$5.08.
Reef Casino Trust's market capitalization is A$224M. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 21.1: you pay A$21.1 for each A$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. RCT.AU's current dividend yield is 4.68% at today's price (A$4.65).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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