ATLAS fair value
$15.94
Below fair value · 34% discount
Super Group (SGHC) stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Gambling · NYSE
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · USD
$15.94
Below fair value · 34% discount
50%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Super Group (SGHC)'s fair value at about $15.94 per share (reasonable range: $11.13 to $22.82). At $10.55, the stock trades 34% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Super Group (SGHC) a 50% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between $9.89 and $11.26; in 9 out of 10, between $8.81 and $12.63. Estimated annual volatility is 29%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Super Group (SGHC) sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks SGHC has traded between $8.46 and $15.86. Today it is 33.5% below that high and 25% above its low.
On the business: revenue grew 26.4% year over year; net margin is 9.8%; it trades at 15.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 1.08: it moves roughly in line with the market.
Super Group (SGHC) Limited is a global digital gaming and online sports betting company. The business operates a portfolio of consumer-facing brands that includes Betway, a single-brand sportsbook and casino offering, and Spin, a multi-brand online casino platform.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About $15.94 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: $11.13 to $22.82). With the stock at $10.55, it is 34% below it.
50%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, SGHC ends the month between $9.89 and $11.26.
Super Group (SGHC)'s market capitalization is $5.7B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.6: you pay $15.6 for each $1 of yearly earnings.
Yes. SGHC's current dividend yield is 1.80% at today's price ($10.55).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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