ATLASATLAS fair value
ZAR 221.07
Above fair value · 55% premium
Range: ZAR 195–ZAR 371Fair valuePrice
Shoprite (SHP.JSE)
Shoprite share price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores · Johannesburg Stock Exchange · South Africa
ZAR 342.44▲ +0.08%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · ZAR
Chance of rising in 1 month
53%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Shoprite in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
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On Shoprite
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Shoprite's fair value at about ZAR 221.07 per share (reasonable range: ZAR 195.36 to ZAR 371.25). At ZAR 342.44, the stock trades 55% above it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is high. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Shoprite a 53% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between ZAR 330.35 and ZAR 357.57; in 9 out of 10, between ZAR 307.95 and ZAR 383.57. Estimated annual volatility is 23%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- ZAR 182B
- Market cap (USD)
- $11.0B
- P/E ratio
- 22.8
- Dividend yield
- 0.03%
- 52-week high
- ZAR 353.10
- 52-week low
- ZAR 252.59
- Revenue (12 months)
- ZAR 271B
- Gross margin
- 23.7%
- Operating margin
- 6.0%
- Net margin
- 2.9%
- Beta
- 0.32
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Shoprite sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks SHP.JSE has traded between ZAR 252.59 and ZAR 353.10. Today it is 3.0% below that high and 36% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 2.9%; it trades at 22.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.32: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Shoprite Holdings Ltd, an investment holding company, engages in the food retail and wholesale business in South Africa and internationally. It operates through the Supermarkets RSA, Supermarkets Non-RSA, and Other Operating segments.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Shoprite (SHP.JSE) fair value?
About ZAR 221.07 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: ZAR 195.36 to ZAR 371.25). With the stock at ZAR 342.44, it is 55% above it.
What is the chance SHP.JSE goes up next month?
53%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, SHP.JSE ends the month between ZAR 330.35 and ZAR 357.57.
How big is Shoprite and what is its P/E ratio?
Shoprite's market capitalization is ZAR 182B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 22.8: you pay ZAR 22.8 for each ZAR 1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Shoprite pay a dividend?
Yes. SHP.JSE's current dividend yield is 0.03% at today's price (ZAR 342.44).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer