ATLAS fair value
CA$17.00
Below fair value · 60% discount
Trican Well Service stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · Toronto Stock Exchange · Canada
Prices as of Oct 26, 2026 · CAD
CA$17.00
Below fair value · 60% discount
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Trican Well Service's fair value at about CA$17.00 per share (reasonable range: CA$10.38 to CA$27.83). At CA$6.84, the stock trades 60% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Trican Well Service a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CA$6.47 and CA$7.25; in 9 out of 10, between CA$5.85 and CA$8.02. Estimated annual volatility is 33%.
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Trican Well Service sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks TCW.TO has traded between CA$5.19 and CA$8.40. Today it is 18.6% below that high and 32% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 7.6%; it trades at 15.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.60: it tends to move less than the market.
Trican Well Service Ltd., an equipment services company, provides various products, equipment, services, and technology for use in the drilling, completion, stimulation, and reworking of oil and gas wells in Canada.
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Other companies in the same line of business:
About CA$17.00 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CA$10.38 to CA$27.83). With the stock at CA$6.84, it is 60% below it.
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, TCW.TO ends the month between CA$6.47 and CA$7.25.
Trican Well Service's market capitalization is CA$1.3B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 15.6: you pay CA$15.6 for each CA$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Yes. TCW.TO's current dividend yield is 2.45% at today's price (CA$6.84).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer
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