ATLASATLAS fair value
CA$3.52
Above fair value · 47% premium
Range: CA$3.17–CA$3.87Fair valuePrice
Timbercreek Financial (TF.TO)
Timbercreek Financial stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Financial Services · Mortgage Finance · Toronto Stock Exchange · Canada
CA$5.16▲ +1.57%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CAD
Chance of rising in 1 month
53%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Timbercreek Financial in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Timbercreek Financial
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Timbercreek Financial's fair value at about CA$3.52 per share (reasonable range: CA$3.17 to CA$3.87). At CA$5.16, the stock trades 47% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Timbercreek Financial a 53% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CA$5.00 and CA$5.36; in 9 out of 10, between CA$4.71 and CA$5.70. Estimated annual volatility is 20%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CA$427M
- Market cap (USD)
- $304M
- P/E ratio
- 16.6
- Dividend yield
- 13.45%
- 52-week high
- CA$7.36
- 52-week low
- CA$5.03
- Revenue (12 months)
- CA$43.9M
- Gross margin
- 94.8%
- Operating margin
- 79.5%
- Net margin
- 58.1%
- Beta
- 0.93
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Timbercreek Financial sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks TF.TO has traded between CA$5.03 and CA$7.36. Today it is 29.9% below that high and 3% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 58.1%; it trades at 16.6 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.93: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
Timbercreek Financial Corp. provides shorter-duration structured financing solutions to commercial real estate investors in Canada. The company focuses on lending against income-producing real estate properties, including multi-residential, retail, and office properties for urban markets.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Timbercreek Financial (TF.TO) fair value?
About CA$3.52 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CA$3.17 to CA$3.87). With the stock at CA$5.16, it is 47% above it.
What is the chance TF.TO goes up next month?
53%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, TF.TO ends the month between CA$5.00 and CA$5.36.
How big is Timbercreek Financial and what is its P/E ratio?
Timbercreek Financial's market capitalization is CA$427M. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 16.6: you pay CA$16.6 for each CA$1.00 of yearly earnings.
Does Timbercreek Financial pay a dividend?
Yes. TF.TO's current dividend yield is 13.45% at today's price (CA$5.16).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer