ATLASATLAS fair value
CA$1.61
Below fair value · 10% discount
Range: CA$1.28–CA$2.04Fair valuePrice
TRX Gold (TRX.TO)
TRX Gold stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Basic Materials · Gold · Toronto Stock Exchange · Canada
CA$1.45▲ +6.62%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · CAD
Chance of rising in 1 month
46%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on TRX Gold in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On TRX Gold
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates TRX Gold's fair value at about CA$1.61 per share (reasonable range: CA$1.28 to CA$2.04). At CA$1.45, the stock trades 10% below it.
It is calculated with a blend of a discounted cash-flow model and peer valuation multiples. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives TRX Gold a 46% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between CA$1.24 and CA$1.63; in 9 out of 10, between CA$0.972 and CA$2.08. Estimated annual volatility is 83%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- CA$451M
- Market cap (USD)
- $321M
- 52-week high
- CA$2.95
- 52-week low
- CA$0.760
- Revenue (12 months)
- $116M
- Gross margin
- 63.8%
- Operating margin
- 47.7%
- Net margin
- -16.7%
- Beta
- 1.08
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. TRX Gold sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks TRX.TO has traded between CA$0.760 and CA$2.95. Today it is 50.9% below that high and 91% above its low.
Its beta is 1.08: it moves roughly in line with the market.
About the company
TRX Gold Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral property in Tanzania. Its flagship project is the Buckreef Gold Project in Tanzania. The company was formerly known as Tanzanian Gold Corporation and changed its name to TRX Gold Corporation in May 2022.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is TRX Gold (TRX.TO) fair value?
About CA$1.61 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: CA$1.28 to CA$2.04). With the stock at CA$1.45, it is 10% below it.
What is the chance TRX.TO goes up next month?
46%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, TRX.TO ends the month between CA$1.24 and CA$1.63.
How big is TRX Gold and what is its P/E ratio?
TRX Gold's market capitalization is CA$451M. We do not show a P/E because it has no positive earnings to base one on.
How volatile is TRX.TO?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 83%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between CA$1.24 and CA$1.63.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer