ATLASATLAS fair value
$51.68
Above fair value · 13% premium
Range: $36–$74Fair valuePrice
TXNM Energy (TXNM)
TXNM Energy stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric · NYSE
$58.63▲ +0.39%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · USD
Chance of rising in 1 month
60%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on TXNM Energy in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
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On TXNM Energy
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates TXNM Energy's fair value at about $51.68 per share (reasonable range: $35.94 to $73.57). At $58.63, the stock trades 13% above it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives TXNM Energy a 60% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: somewhat better than a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between $58.09 and $59.83; in 9 out of 10, between $56.59 and $61.42. Estimated annual volatility is 5%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- $6.4B
- P/E ratio
- 32.8
- Dividend yield
- 2.89%
- 52-week high
- $59.53
- 52-week low
- $55.64
- Revenue (12 months)
- $2.2B
- Revenue growth (YoY)
- +9.9%
- Earnings growth (YoY)
- -44.6%
- Gross margin
- 62.4%
- Operating margin
- 20.3%
- Net margin
- 7.8%
- Return on equity
- 6.3%
- Free cash flow (12 months)
- $-529M
- Beta
- 0.17
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. TXNM Energy sits above fair value and its odds of rising over a month are somewhat better than a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks TXNM has traded between $55.64 and $59.53. Today it is 1.5% below that high and 5% above its low.
On the business: revenue grew 9.9% year over year; net margin is 7.8%; it trades at 32.8 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.17: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
TXNM Energy, Inc. is an energy holding company that provides regulated electricity and electric services through its subsidiaries, Public Service Company of New Mexico and Texas-New Mexico Power Company.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is TXNM Energy (TXNM) fair value?
About $51.68 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: $35.94 to $73.57). With the stock at $58.63, it is 13% above it.
What is the chance TXNM goes up next month?
60%: somewhat better than a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, TXNM ends the month between $58.09 and $59.83.
How big is TXNM Energy and what is its P/E ratio?
TXNM Energy's market capitalization is $6.4B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 32.8: you pay $32.8 for each $1 of yearly earnings.
Does TXNM Energy pay a dividend?
Yes. TXNM's current dividend yield is 2.89% at today's price ($58.63).
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer