ATLASATLAS fair value
PLN 203.30
Below fair value · 34% discount
Range: PLN 183–PLN 224Fair valuePrice
Alior Bank (ALR.WAR)
Alior Bank stock price today, ATLAS forecast and fair value
Financial Services · Banks - Diversified · Warsaw Stock Exchange · Poland
PLN 135.00▲ +3.37%
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026 · PLN
Chance of rising in 1 month
51%
that it ends higher than today in 21 sessions
0%coin flip 50%100%
This is just the summary. See everything on Alior Bank in ATLAS
ATLAS's own quantitative analysis, all in one place.
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
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On Alior Bank
- Simulation and expected rangeThousands of simulated scenarios: how far the price could rise or fall.
- Officers and shareholdersWho runs the company and which funds hold its shares.
- Customer and supplier mapWho it does business with, from its own filings.
- Valuation and financialsFair value step by step, quarterly accounts and upcoming events.
- NewsThe latest on the company, in one place.
And for you
- ATLAS builds your portfolioAnswer a short test and get portfolios that fit you.
- AlertsWe let you know when something changes in your stocks.
- Crisis simulatorHow your portfolio would do in a crash like 2008.
- Practice risk-free$10,000 in virtual money to invest at real prices.
- Global screenerSearch US stocks and stocks from 47 countries with filters.
Plans from €3.99 a month.
ATLAS estimates Alior Bank's fair value at about PLN 203.30 per share (reasonable range: PLN 182.97 to PLN 223.63). At PLN 135.00, the stock trades 34% below it.
It is calculated with valuation multiples of comparable companies. Confidence in the estimate is medium. It is an estimate, not a promise: if the company's results change, so does its fair value.
ATLAS's model gives Alior Bank a 51% chance of finishing higher a month from now (21 trading sessions) than today: close to a coin flip.
In half of the simulated outcomes the price ends between PLN 128.38 and PLN 142.53; in 9 out of 10, between PLN 117.02 and PLN 156.37. Estimated annual volatility is 29%.
Price, last 12 months (weekly close)
Key numbers
- Market cap
- PLN 17.5B
- Market cap (USD)
- $4.4B
- P/E ratio
- 8.5
- 52-week high
- PLN 143.70
- 52-week low
- PLN 99.04
- Revenue (12 months)
- PLN 5.5B
- Gross margin
- 98.4%
- Operating margin
- 48.5%
- Net margin
- 37.0%
- Beta
- 0.84
What this means
These are two different questions: fair value looks at the business (what it is worth given what it earns) and the odds look at the price over the next month. Alior Bank sits below fair value and its odds of rising over a month are close to a coin flip. An expensive stock can keep climbing and a cheap one can keep falling, which is why ATLAS shows the two readings separately.
Over the last 52 weeks ALR.WAR has traded between PLN 99.04 and PLN 143.70. Today it is 6.1% below that high and 36% above its low.
On the business: net margin is 37.0%; it trades at 8.5 times earnings.
Its beta is 0.84: it tends to move less than the market.
About the company
Alior Bank S.A. provides various banking products and services for individuals, businesses, and enterprises in Poland. The company operates through three segments: Retail, Corporate, and Treasury Activities.
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Comparable companies
Other companies in the same line of business:
Frequently asked questions
What is Alior Bank (ALR.WAR) fair value?
About PLN 203.30 per share according to ATLAS (reasonable range: PLN 182.97 to PLN 223.63). With the stock at PLN 135.00, it is 34% below it.
What is the chance ALR.WAR goes up next month?
51%: close to a coin flip. In half of the simulated outcomes, ALR.WAR ends the month between PLN 128.38 and PLN 142.53.
How big is Alior Bank and what is its P/E ratio?
Alior Bank's market capitalization is PLN 17.5B. Its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 8.5: you pay PLN 8.53 for each PLN 1.00 of yearly earnings.
How volatile is ALR.WAR?
ATLAS estimates annual volatility at 29%. In a typical month, half of the outcomes end between PLN 128.38 and PLN 142.53.
Not investment advice. ATLAS estimates are produced by statistical models from public data; they can be wrong and past performance does not predict future results. Consider your own situation before investing. Disclaimer